GameWith
Pokemon Champions Tools

Tournament Rating Simulator

Simulates the expected number of wins needed to reach your target rank or rating in a tournament.

Top-128 Border
Border Rating
1586.23
Win Margin
+6 ↑

Rating Distribution (Theoretical, Final)

0.0275480107Rating 1250–1274 → total 0 players1250Rating 1275–1299 → total 0.70 players [20 matches, 3 wins (diff -14): 0.70 players]Rating 1300–1324 → total 3 players [20 matches, 4 wins (diff -12): 3 players]1300Rating 1325–1349 → total 9.46 players [20 matches, 5 wins (diff -10): 9.46 players]Rating 1350–1374 → total 23.7 players [20 matches, 6 wins (diff -8): 23.7 players]1350Rating 1375–1399 → total 0 playersRating 1400–1424 → total 47.2 players [20 matches, 7 wins (diff -6): 47.2 players]1400Rating 1425–1449 → total 76.4 players [18 matches, 7 wins (diff -4): 0.29 players / 20 matches, 8 wins (diff -4): 76.1 players]Rating 1450–1474 → total 100.9 players [18 matches, 8 wins (diff -2): 2.05 players / 20 matches, 9 wins (diff -2): 98.8 players]1450Rating 1475–1499 → total 0 playersRating 1500–1524 → total 107.1 players [18 matches, 9 wins (diff +0): 5.86 players / 20 matches, 10 wins (diff +0): 101.2 players]1500Rating 1525–1549 → total 97 players [14 matches, 8 wins (diff +2): 4.69 players / 16 matches, 9 wins (diff +2): 3.22 players / 18 matches, 10 wins (diff +2): 10.9 players / 20 matches, 11 wins (diff +2): 78.2 players]Rating 1550–1574 → total 66.8 players [14 matches, 9 wins (diff +4): 9.38 players / 16 matches, 10 wins (diff +4): 6.45 players / 18 matches, 11 wins (diff +4): 11 players / 20 matches, 12 wins (diff +4): 40 players]1550Rating 1575–1599 → total 100.7 players [10 matches, 8 wins (diff +6): 28.1 players / 12 matches, 9 wins (diff +6): 18.8 players / 14 matches, 10 wins (diff +6): 17.6 players / 16 matches, 11 wins (diff +6): 14.2 players / 18 matches, 12 wins (diff +6): 12.4 players / 20 matches, 13 wins (diff +6): 9.69 players]Rating 1600–1624 → total 0 players1600Rating 1625–1649 → total 6.25 players [10 matches, 9 wins (diff +8): 6.25 players]Rating 1650–1674 → total 0.63 players [10 matches, 10 wins (diff +10): 0.63 players]1650Border 1586.2Count (theoretical)Rating
  • Calculated under the Elo rating system with initial rating 1500 and K-factor 16
  • Players exceeding the target rank are assumed to stop playing extra matches
  • Participant count assumes everyone keeps playing while aiming for the target rank
  • Theoretical estimate only — use as a rough reference